Swindon Supermarine 2-1 Walton & Hersham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
24%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.1pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.6pp
24%
Away Win
36%
-11.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.02/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.26
+29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Walton & Hersham
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 4-2 HT 1-2 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Walton & Hersham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine edged past Walton & Hersham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swindon Supermarine as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Walton & Hersham?

Swindon Supermarine 2-1 Walton & Hersham in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Walton & Hersham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 43%, draw 34%, Walton & Hersham 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Supermarine), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✓ BTTS Yes
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