Kerala Blasters 3-2 Odisha FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 13 Jan 2025

📅13/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.45/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.72
+22% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.7 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Odisha FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
263 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-2 HT 2-2 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
19.04.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
02.02.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
27.10.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
26.12.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
23.10.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
3-2
AWAY Odisha FC
2.63 xG 0.96
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 4
361 Passes 142
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
46 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs Odisha FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters nicked a narrow win over Odisha FC 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kerala Blasters as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 68% of the ball to Odisha FC's 32%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.63 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kerala Blasters's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odisha FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kerala Blasters and 1.50 for Odisha FC.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs Odisha FC?

Kerala Blasters 3-2 Odisha FC in the India - Super League on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs Odisha FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 47%, draw 25%, Odisha FC 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerala Blasters), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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