Tamworth 1-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-39% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
123 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 144 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rochdale
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Tamworth Tamworth 1-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
25.02.2025 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
17.12.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY Rochdale
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and Rochdale shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tamworth had 35% of the ball to Rochdale's 65%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tamworth and 2.00 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Rochdale?

Tamworth 1-1 Rochdale in the England - FA Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 36%, draw 25%, Rochdale 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rochdale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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