Tamworth 1-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Feb 2025

Tamworth
1-1 HT 1-0
Rochdale
📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Tamworth vs Rochdale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.48
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
12%
6.03
X/2
9%
4.94
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
23%
3.31
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tamworth v Rochdale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.37/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.34
+7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
42 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 64 · 97%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Tamworth vs Rochdale Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 13
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL

Tamworth 1-1 Rochdale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY Rochdale
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 9
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and Rochdale couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tamworth had 33% of the ball to Rochdale's 67%, shots finished 14-24.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Rochdale?

Tamworth 1-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 31%, draw 32%, Rochdale 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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