Eastleigh 1-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Feb 2025

Eastleigh
1-1 HT 0-0
Gateshead
📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Eastleigh vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.67
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
8%
6.69
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
5.01
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
2.99
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · X/2 at 5.01 — our 22% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastleigh v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.60/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.53
+26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
131 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Eastleigh vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gateshead
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
06.02.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
09.09.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-6 HT 0-4 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
12.04.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-5 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.04.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL

Eastleigh 1-1 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-1
AWAY Gateshead
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh and Gateshead shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastleigh had 45% of the ball to Gateshead's 55%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastleigh and 2.50 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Gateshead?

Eastleigh 1-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 27%, draw 29%, Gateshead 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gateshead), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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