Gateshead 2-1 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 28% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.02
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
9%
10.6
X/X
12%
5.96
2/1
6%
20.9
2/2
14%
7.43
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +41%
2.18/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.45
+18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eastleigh
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
09.09.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-6 HT 0-4 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
12.04.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-5 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.04.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
29.09.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
2-1
AWAY Eastleigh
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead edged past Eastleigh 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gateshead had 58% of the ball to Eastleigh's 42%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gateshead and 1.00 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Eastleigh?

Gateshead 2-1 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 47%, draw 26%, Eastleigh 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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