Maidenhead United 1-3 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.42
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
11%
8.07
X/2
14%
4.33
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.48
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 55%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.19/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.87
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-2D-2L
AWAY York City
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Passes 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 York City York City 6-2 HT 4-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
03.02.2024 York City York City 1-1 HT 1-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.11.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
28.01.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
27.08.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
1-3
AWAY York City
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Passes 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City got the better of Maidenhead United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 44% of the ball to York City's 56%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.00 for York City.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs York City?

Maidenhead United 1-3 York City in the England - National League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 28%, draw 26%, York City 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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