Tamworth 1-2 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 32% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.6
1/2
10%
22.7
1/X
10%
16.2
X/1
7%
9.6
X/2
16%
4.26
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.2
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 59%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.72
+5% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +55%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 11
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2025 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
17.12.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-2
AWAY Rochdale
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale nicked a narrow win over Tamworth 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tamworth had 30% of the ball to Rochdale's 70%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tamworth and 2.00 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Rochdale?

Tamworth 1-2 Rochdale in the England - National League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 22%, draw 26%, Rochdale 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
22 Nov 2025
15:30 Aldershot Town vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Gateshead vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
18:00 Morecambe vs Yeovil Analysis →
18:00 Halifax Town vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 Southend United vs Altrincham Analysis →