Wealdstone 1-1 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 26% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.28
1/2
11%
21.25
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
9%
8.77
X/2
16%
4.62
X/X
12%
5.75
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.35
2/X
4%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.12/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.94
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-1 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
14.09.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-2 HT 2-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-1
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone and Forest Green Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Forest Green Rovers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Wealdstone had 56% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 44%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wealdstone had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wealdstone and 1.50 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Forest Green Rovers?

Wealdstone 1-1 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 29%, draw 25%, Forest Green Rovers 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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