Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.4
X/1
14%
3.64
X/2
8%
12.35
X/X
14%
6.07
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
7%
9.73
2/X
5%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.33/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.75
+24% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2-2
AWAY Wealdstone
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers and Wealdstone couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Forest Green Rovers at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 54% of the ball to Wealdstone's 46%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone?

Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 53%, draw 27%, Wealdstone 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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