Halifax Town 3-1 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.01
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
10%
4.78
X/2
10%
6.56
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.68
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halifax Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.36/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.58
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halifax Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Halifax Town Halifax Town 2-3 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
29.04.2023 Halifax Town Halifax Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
24.09.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
02.05.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-2 HT 0-2 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
08.01.2022 Halifax Town Halifax Town 4-0 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
20.03.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 0-0 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halifax Town
3-1
AWAY Eastleigh
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halifax Town vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halifax Town beat Eastleigh 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Halifax Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Halifax Town had 50% of the ball to Eastleigh's 50%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Halifax Town and 1.17 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Halifax Town vs Eastleigh?

Halifax Town 3-1 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halifax Town vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halifax Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Halifax Town 40%, draw 28%, Eastleigh 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Halifax Town) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Halifax Town) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
14 Sep 2024
17:00 Woking vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Tamworth vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
17:00 Southend United vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 Barnet vs Braintree Town Analysis →
17:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
17:00 Yeovil vs Altrincham Analysis →