Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Sep 2024

Ebbsfleet United
1-0 HT 1-0
Hartlepool United
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Ebbsfleet United vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.61
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
13%
6.23
X/2
14%
4.72
X/X
8%
4.51
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.13
2/X EV+ ✗
14%
13.7
Value flag · 2/X at 13.7 — our 14% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.14/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.04
-12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ebbsfleet United vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
11.11.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
07.03.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
16.11.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-2 HT 0-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
19.02.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
11.08.2018 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Hartlepool United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-0
AWAY Hartlepool United
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United squeezed past Hartlepool United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Ebbsfleet United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 54% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 46%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 0.83 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Hartlepool United?

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 37%, draw 29%, Hartlepool United 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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