Woking 1-3 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.09
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
13%
6.6
X/2
12%
4.54
X/X
11%
4.26
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.01
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.25/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.05
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
18.11.2023 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
07.03.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
13.09.2022 Woking Woking 3-0 HT 2-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
1-3
AWAY Oldham Athletic
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Woking vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic got the better of Woking 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Oldham Athletic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Woking had 52% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 48%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Woking and 0.50 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Woking vs Oldham Athletic?

Woking 1-3 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Woking 34%, draw 27%, Oldham Athletic 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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