Tamworth 3-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Sep 2024

Tamworth
3-1 HT 1-0
Maidenhead United
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Tamworth vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.57
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.0
X/1
15%
5.29
X/2
8%
5.75
X/X
15%
4.36
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.01
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 1/X at 13.0 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tamworth v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.44/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.02
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Tamworth 3-1 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
3-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth beat Maidenhead United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Tamworth made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tamworth had 48% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 52%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Maidenhead United?

Tamworth 3-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 40%, draw 30%, Maidenhead United 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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