Wealdstone 2-1 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.7
No
58%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 35% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.0
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
18%
5.94
X/2
12%
5.6
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.65
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.5pp
58%
BTTS No
45%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.54/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.18
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-2 HT 2-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
2-1
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone squeezed past Forest Green Rovers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Wealdstone made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wealdstone had 46% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 54%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Forest Green Rovers?

Wealdstone 2-1 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 37%, draw 27%, Forest Green Rovers 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wealdstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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