AFC Fylde 1-3 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.29
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.8
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
9%
9.72
X/2
14%
4.32
X/X
7%
6.05
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.14
2/X
10%
14.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.8 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.47/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.19
+29% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
56 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 88 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
2W-0D-4L
AWAY York City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 York City York City 3-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
05.03.2024 York City York City 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
11.11.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-2 York City York City İBSL
02.05.2022 York City York City 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
01.03.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İCON
16.02.2021 York City York City 1-3 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
1-3
AWAY York City
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 11
1 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City beat AFC Fylde 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 34% of the ball to York City's 66%, shots finished 4-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AFC Fylde and 1.83 for York City.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs York City?

AFC Fylde 1-3 York City in the England - National League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 29%, draw 25%, York City 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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