Hartlepool United 3-2 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Apr 2025

Hartlepool United
3-2 HT 1-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Hartlepool United vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.61
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
20.0
X/1
16%
3.77
X/2
5%
16.45
X/X
11%
6.97
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
9%
14.5
2/X
6%
23.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.3pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 15%
-17% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.15/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.41
-47% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
81 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 58 · 95%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Hartlepool United vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
20.01.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
11.11.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
07.03.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
16.11.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-2 HT 0-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
19.02.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL

Hartlepool United 3-2 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
3-2
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
2 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United squeezed past Ebbsfleet United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 52% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 48%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.00 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Hartlepool United 3-2 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 57%, draw 25%, Ebbsfleet United 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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