York City 3-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 28% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.6
X/1
14%
3.73
X/2
9%
12.55
X/X
18%
6.05
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
6%
9.69
2/X
4%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 19%
-23% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
0.95/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.90
-50% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
3W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2024 York City York City 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
11.11.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-2 York City York City İBSL
02.05.2022 York City York City 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
01.03.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İCON
16.02.2021 York City York City 1-3 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
3-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York City vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City swept aside AFC Fylde 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, York City had 66% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 34%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, York City had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for York City and 1.40 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of York City vs AFC Fylde?

York City 3-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split York City 51%, draw 27%, AFC Fylde 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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