Başakşehir FK 2-1 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.48
2-3 Goals
44%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
8%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.47
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.45
X/1
17%
4.07
X/2
4%
20.55
X/X
7%
8.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
21.75
2/2
7%
17.0
2/X
4%
23.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 15% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.7pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.49/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.53
-3% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +60%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Boluspor
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor TÜK
13.04.2014 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 4-1 HT 2-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
08.12.2013 Boluspor Boluspor 0-4 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK T1L
21.07.2008 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK KZC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
2-1
AWAY Boluspor
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK squeezed past Boluspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 58% of the ball to Boluspor's 42%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.25 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Boluspor?

Başakşehir FK 2-1 Boluspor in the Turkey - Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 66%, draw 18%, Boluspor 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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