Gaziantep FK 1-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 13 Jan 2026

Gaziantep FK
1-0 HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
📅13/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2025/2026

Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.87
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
9%
6.81
X/2
16%
4.98
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
19%
3.01
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.99/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.99/2.00
-34% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
237 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.89 xG 0.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
251 Passes 257
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 10
7 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
16.12.2020 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-2 HT 1-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
07.03.2010 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
11.10.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-1 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
29.03.2008 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
04.11.2007 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 5-2 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L

Gaziantep FK 1-0 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK squeezed past Kocaelispor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; Gaziantep FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 35% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 65%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.17 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor?

Gaziantep FK 1-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 37%, draw 21%, Kocaelispor 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kocaelispor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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