Alanyaspor 2-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 13 Jan 2026

Alanyaspor
2-2 HT 1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
📅13/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2025/2026

Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.57
6+ Goals
13%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.05
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
17%
4.04
X/2
10%
10.85
X/X
8%
5.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
24.0
2/2
8%
9.16
2/X
6%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.48/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.27
+12% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
415 Passes 383
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
06.02.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 4-1 HT 3-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TÜK
25.02.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.10.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
22.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
07.08.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-4 HT 0-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL

Alanyaspor 2-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
2-2
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor and Fatih Karagümrük couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alanyaspor at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 48% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 52%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.17 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Alanyaspor 2-2 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 57%, draw 21%, Fatih Karagümrük 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
13 Jan 2026
15:30 Başakşehir FK vs Boluspor Analysis →
18:00 Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor Analysis →
20:30 Fethiyespor vs Galatasaray Analysis →