Alanyaspor 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.37
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
8%
8.94
X/X
9%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.4
2/X
7%
16.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.51/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.79
-13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.0 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
425 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 4-1 HT 3-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TÜK
25.02.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.10.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
22.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
07.08.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-4 HT 0-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
22.05.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
2-0
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
0.95 xG 0.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
359 Passes 480
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor saw off Fatih Karagümrük 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 44% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.95 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.17 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Alanyaspor 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 50%, draw 24%, Fatih Karagümrük 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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