Göztepe 2-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Dec 2025

Göztepe
2-0 HT 1-0
Samsunspor
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Göztepe vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
23%
2.88
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.45
Over 2.5
50%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.12
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.75
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.31
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
12%
4.74
X/2
15%
6.81
X/X
12%
3.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
5%
35.0
2/2
14%
5.76
2/X
4%
15.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 5% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
31%
-8.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
65%
-15.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
35%
+15.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+12.4pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göztepe v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.80/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.45
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.5 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Göztepe vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
216 Passes 380
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.03.2025 Göztepe Göztepe 2-2 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
28.09.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 4-3 HT 1-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
07.04.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
06.11.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
29.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
14.05.2017 Göztepe Göztepe 4-1 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L

Göztepe 2-0 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
2-0
AWAY Samsunspor
1.00 xG 0.28
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
179 Passes 381
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe saw off Samsunspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Göztepe had 36% of the ball to Samsunspor's 64%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.00 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Göztepe and 1.33 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Samsunspor?

Göztepe 2-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 44%, draw 23%, Samsunspor 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ BTTS Yes
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