Heidelberg United 2-1 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.21/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.67
-10% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses 25.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Green Gully
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2025 Green Gully Green Gully 0-3 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
04.04.2025 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 4-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
08.06.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 2-0 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
01.03.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-0 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
13.08.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 1-2 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
05.05.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United edged past Green Gully 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Heidelberg United and 0.67 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Green Gully?

Heidelberg United 2-1 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 58%, draw 21%, Green Gully 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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