Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 Wellington Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 13 Feb 2026

Western Sydney Wanderers
2-2 HT 2-0
Wellington Phoenix
📅13/02/2026 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.16
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.52
X/2
7%
9.73
X/X
11%
6.08
2/1
8%
20.55
2/2
10%
6.99
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.73/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.90
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.3 Crosses 11.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 1.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
502 Passes 400
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.12.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
23.12.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
21.04.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
10.12.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Wellington Phoenix
1.26 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
351 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers and Wellington Phoenix shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Western Sydney Wanderers at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 54% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 46%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.26 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.00 for Wellington Phoenix.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix?

Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 51%, draw 25%, Wellington Phoenix 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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