Perth Glory 1-3 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.76
2-3 Goals
38%
2.18
4-5 Goals
25%
2.44
6+ Goals
15%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.22
1/2
6%
19.7
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
12.9
X/1
13%
7.36
X/2
15%
5.6
X/X
10%
6.78
2/1
5%
24.85
2/2
23%
2.78
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 1/X at 12.9 — our 9% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.9pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.43/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.71
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
19.2 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.60 xG 1.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
299 Passes 496
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2025 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-2 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
25.01.2025 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
14.12.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-4 HT 0-3 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
09.03.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
16.12.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
22.10.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
1-3
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.34 xG 1.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
398 Passes 491
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets beat Perth Glory 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newcastle Jets as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Perth Glory had 45% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.34 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Perth Glory and 2.17 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Perth Glory 1-3 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 33%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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