Afan Lido vs Newport City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Afan Lido v Newport City — Team-Based Signals
Afan Lido vs Newport City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Newport City nicked a narrow win over Afan Lido 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 53%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newport City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Afan Lido against 2.33 for Newport City.
Afan Lido vs Newport City Result & Final Score
Afan Lido 0 - 1 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Afan Lido vs Newport City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 18%, draw 22%, Newport City 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.