UPDF 0-0 Buhimba United Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
UPDF win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UPDF The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Buhimba United Saints The Market 18%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.54/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.65
-14% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -59%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UPDF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Buhimba United Saints
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2025 Buhimba United Saints 2-2 HT 1-1 UPDF UPDF UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UPDF
0-0
AWAY Buhimba United Saints
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UPDF and Buhimba United Saints played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UPDF at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, UPDF had 67% of the ball to Buhimba United Saints's 33%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints?

UPDF 0-0 Buhimba United Saints in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a UPDF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split UPDF 57%, draw 27%, Buhimba United Saints 17%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UPDF) ✗ Over 2.5
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