BUL 1-1 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

BUL
1-1 HT 0-1
Vipers
📅13/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.56
Over
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
44%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.2pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.8pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers The Market 55%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.52/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.69
+112% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Vipers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2025 Vipers Vipers 3-1 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
14.12.2024 Vipers Vipers 1-1 HT 1-1 BUL BUL UGA
01.05.2024 BUL BUL 1-0 HT 1-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
09.02.2022 BUL BUL 1-3 HT 1-2 Vipers Vipers UGA
08.01.2022 Vipers Vipers 1-1 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
POST-MATCH BUL vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL and Vipers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vipers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vipers led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BUL and 1.60 for Vipers.

What was the final score of BUL vs Vipers?

BUL 1-1 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split BUL 22%, draw 36%, Vipers 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vipers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5
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