NEC vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals
NEC vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
NEC 3-1 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics
NEC saw off Kampala City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Kampala City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, NEC had 46% of the ball to Kampala City's 54%, shots finished 6-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, NEC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NEC and 0.67 for Kampala City.
What was the final score of NEC vs Kampala City?
NEC 3-1 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs Kampala City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NEC 26%, draw 34%, Kampala City 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.