Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
14%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 19%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
2.76/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.82/1.87
+14% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 7.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.71 xG 0.82
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
431 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy CON
14.03.2013 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano CON
08.03.2013 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
4-1
AWAY CS Herediano
2.84 xG 0.74
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
682 Passes 307
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 6
9 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy ran out comfortable winners over CS Herediano 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 66% of the ball to CS Herediano's 34%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.84 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 0.67 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs CS Herediano?

Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 CS Herediano in the CONCACAF Champions League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 55%, draw 22%, CS Herediano 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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