Club America 4-0 Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
15%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
1.22/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.43
-26% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
16.9 Crosses 18.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Guadalajara
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.90 xG 0.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
406 Passes 315
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
06.03.2025 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America CON
15.09.2024 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 1-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
19.05.2024 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
16.05.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
17.03.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
4-0
AWAY Guadalajara
1.55 xG 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
447 Passes 333
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 5
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club America vs Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America ran out comfortable winners over Guadalajara 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club America had 56% of the ball to Guadalajara's 44%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.55 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Club America and 0.17 for Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Club America vs Guadalajara?

Club America 4-0 Guadalajara in the CONCACAF Champions League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Club America 55%, draw 20%, Guadalajara 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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