Monterrey 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 13 Mar 2025

Monterrey
2-2 HT 1-0
Vancouver Whitecaps
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2025

Monterrey vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 23% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monterrey v Vancouver Whitecaps — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.01/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/2.76
-17% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
24.4 Crosses 12.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Monterrey vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.18 xG 2.04
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 15
237 Passes 494
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 46
5 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.03.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey CON

Monterrey 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
2-2
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
2.51 xG 0.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 Passes 294
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey and Vancouver Whitecaps shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Monterrey carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Monterrey had 51% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 49%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.51 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Monterrey 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps in the CONCACAF Champions League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 55%, draw 22%, Vancouver Whitecaps 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Monterrey), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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