EGS Gafsa 2-0 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.67
No
57%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
6.15
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
56%
-17.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+11.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
33%
+9.7pp
57%
BTTS No
67%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.78
+49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +72%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.12.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 0-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1
01.06.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-1 HT 0-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN
09.03.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EGS Gafsa saw off ES Metlaoui 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day EGS Gafsa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EGS Gafsa and 1.00 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs ES Metlaoui?

EGS Gafsa 2-0 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a EGS Gafsa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 39%, draw 32%, ES Metlaoui 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EGS Gafsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EGS Gafsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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