Greenville Triumph 3-0 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.44/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.95
-12% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.0 Crosses 20.3
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 1.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
278 Passes 309
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
08.09.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-1 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.07.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
27.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
11.06.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
25.05.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-3 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
3-0
AWAY Union Omaha
0.98 xG 0.88
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
208 Passes 341
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph cruised past Union Omaha 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 39% of the ball to Union Omaha's 61%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.98 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Greenville Triumph and 2.00 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha?

Greenville Triumph 3-0 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 29%, draw 30%, Union Omaha 41%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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