Greenock Morton 1-2 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.4
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
13%
7.89
X/2
16%
4.31
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.54
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
+10.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 54%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -22%
1.03/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.34
-3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses 12.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.01.2026 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-2 HT 0-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
11.10.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
09.08.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
29.03.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
01.02.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.12.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle edged past Greenock Morton 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.50 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?

Greenock Morton 1-2 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 34%, draw 22%, Partick Thistle 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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