Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.47/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.17
+29% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
21.2 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.04 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
313 Passes 210
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-1 HT 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
11.04.2025 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 HT 1-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
03.11.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-3 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
23.02.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
20.08.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 HT 1-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
1-2
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.41 xG 3.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 5
282 Passes 246
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 54
15 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden squeezed past Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 52% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 48%, shots finished 7-26, expected goals 1.41 to 3.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Patro Eisden's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 1.80 for Patro Eisden.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden?

Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 28%, draw 30%, Patro Eisden 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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