Buckley Town 1-4 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.35
No
43%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.0pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
70%
-13.2pp
43%
BTTS No
30%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 42%
-14% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.70/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.65
-1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buckley Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Denbigh Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
05.09.2025 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
01.03.2025 Buckley Town Buckley Town 0-5 HT 0-4 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
21.12.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
10.02.2024 Buckley Town Buckley Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
22.09.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 6-5 HT 3-3 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
05.08.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALLK
POST-MATCH Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town swept aside Buckley Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 18% / 41%) promised a tight game; Denbigh Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Denbigh Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Buckley Town and 2.50 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?

Buckley Town 1-4 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buckley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Buckley Town 41%, draw 18%, Denbigh Town 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (41/18/41) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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