Denbigh Town 1-1 Buckley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.6pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
3.21/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.34
+67% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Buckley Town
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
01.03.2025 Buckley Town Buckley Town 0-5 HT 0-4 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
21.12.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
10.02.2024 Buckley Town Buckley Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
22.09.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 6-5 HT 3-3 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
05.08.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALLK
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town and Buckley Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Denbigh Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Denbigh Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Denbigh Town and 2.20 for Buckley Town.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town?

Denbigh Town 1-1 Buckley Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 45%, draw 25%, Buckley Town 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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