Gresford Athletic 1-0 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.36/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.65
-24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
01.03.2025 Mold Alexandra 1-3 HT 0-3 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
08.11.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 2-2 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
23.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
17.11.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-5 HT 0-3 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
25.03.2023 Mold Alexandra 1-2 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
12.08.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic edged past Mold Alexandra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mold Alexandra at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gresford Athletic and 1.83 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra?

Gresford Athletic 1-0 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 34%, draw 24%, Mold Alexandra 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
5 Sep 2025
21:30 Pontypridd Town AFC vs Carmarthen Town Analysis →
21:30 Newport City vs Cambrian & Clydach Analysis →
21:30 Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely) Analysis →
21:45 Ruthin Town vs Y Rhyl 1879 Analysis →
21:45 Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town Analysis →