Universitatea Craiova 0-1 FC Arges — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.11
2-3 Goals
46%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.6pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Arges EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.91/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.07
+4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
15.5 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Arges
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 0.79
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 196
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2025 FC Arges FC Arges 1-2 HT 1-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
18.07.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
01.03.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
07.12.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 2-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
07.10.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
25.04.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 0-4 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
0-1
AWAY FC Arges
0.48 xG 0.13
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
433 Passes 116
80% Pass Accuracy 55%
22 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs FC Arges
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Arges nicked a narrow win over Universitatea Craiova 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Universitatea Craiova at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 72% of the ball to FC Arges's 28%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.48 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 0.83 for FC Arges.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs FC Arges?

Universitatea Craiova 0-1 FC Arges in the Romania - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs FC Arges?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 56%, draw 22%, FC Arges 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5
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