UTA Arad 3-2 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +28%
1.42/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.17
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.5 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
408 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.11.2025 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-2 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
26.07.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
26.04.2025 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 3-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
31.01.2025 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
16.09.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
12.04.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-3 HT 0-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
3-2
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.61 xG 2.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
196 Passes 327
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad squeezed past Hermannstadt 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day UTA Arad made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UTA Arad had 41% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 59%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.61 to 2.64 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hermannstadt.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTA Arad and 1.33 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt?

UTA Arad 3-2 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 36%, draw 26%, Hermannstadt 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hermannstadt) ✗ Under 2.5
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