UTA Arad 1-0 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 35% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +31%
1.37/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.35
-2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.2 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
397 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 3-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
31.01.2025 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
16.09.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
12.04.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-3 HT 0-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
02.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
29.07.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-0
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.91 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad squeezed past Hermannstadt 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day UTA Arad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, UTA Arad had 52% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.91 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermannstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTA Arad and 1.50 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt?

UTA Arad 1-0 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 39%, draw 28%, Hermannstadt 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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