FCSB 1-2 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.89/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.56
+7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.4 Crosses 12.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.31 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
394 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
09.08.2024 FCSB FCSB 3-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
27.04.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
31.03.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
17.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-2
AWAY SSC Farul
0.65 xG 3.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
391 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FCSB vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul nicked a narrow win over FCSB 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FCSB had 55% of the ball to SSC Farul's 45%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.65 to 3.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold SSC Farul's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FCSB and 0.83 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of FCSB vs SSC Farul?

FCSB 1-2 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FCSB 48%, draw 25%, SSC Farul 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
26 Jul 2025
18:30 UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt Analysis →