SSC Farul 1-1 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
20%
+11.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-12.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 60%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.13/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.66
+75% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 79%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
4.0 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FCSB
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 2.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 466
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2024 FCSB FCSB 3-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
27.04.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
31.03.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
17.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
21.05.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
1-1
AWAY FCSB
1.07 xG 2.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
341 Passes 323
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul and FCSB couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SSC Farul had 50% of the ball to FCSB's 50%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 1.07 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SSC Farul and 1.67 for FCSB.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs FCSB?

SSC Farul 1-1 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 31%, draw 25%, FCSB 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FCSB), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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