Uganda Police 0-1 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

Uganda Police
0-1 HT 0-0
NEC
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Uganda Police vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.3pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uganda Police v NEC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.19/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.03
+34% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Uganda Police vs NEC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
0W-3D-0L
AWAY NEC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 NEC NEC 2-2 HT 1-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
16.02.2025 Uganda Police Uganda Police 1-1 HT 0-1 NEC NEC UGA
05.11.2024 NEC NEC 0-0 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC edged past Uganda Police 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 35% — and on the day NEC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uganda Police and 1.00 for NEC.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs NEC?

Uganda Police 0-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 33%, draw 33%, NEC 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5
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