BUL 0-0 Mbarara City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.16/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.90
-33% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
431 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Mbarara City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Mbarara City Mbarara City 1-1 HT 1-1 BUL BUL UGA
29.03.2025 Mbarara City Mbarara City 0-0 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
02.10.2024 BUL BUL 0-2 HT 0-1 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
02.11.2021 BUL BUL 1-0 HT 0-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
0-0
AWAY Mbarara City
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BUL vs Mbarara City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL and Mbarara City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BUL at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, BUL had 53% of the ball to Mbarara City's 47%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for BUL and 0.75 for Mbarara City.

What was the final score of BUL vs Mbarara City?

BUL 0-0 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Mbarara City?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split BUL 62%, draw 24%, Mbarara City 14%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BUL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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