Mbarara City vs BUL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v BUL — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs BUL Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Mbarara City
UGA
Mbarara City 1-1 BUL — Actual Match Statistics
Mbarara City and BUL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was BUL at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mbarara City had 51% of the ball to BUL's 49%, shots finished 14-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mbarara City and 0.33 for BUL.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs BUL?
Mbarara City 1-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs BUL?
Before kick-off our model rated an BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 30%, draw 26%, BUL 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BUL), BTTS No went the other way.