URA vs Express Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
URA v Express — Team-Based Signals
URA vs Express Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
URA
UGA
0-0
HT 0-0
Express
UGA
URA 1-1 Express — Actual Match Statistics
URA and Express couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had URA at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, URA had 49% of the ball to Express's 51%, shots finished 11-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for URA and 0.75 for Express.
What was the final score of URA vs Express?
URA 1-1 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for URA vs Express?
Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split URA 55%, draw 25%, Express 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (URA), BTTS No went the other way.