Mbarara City 0-0 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 51%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.72/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.00
-15% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbarara City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY BUL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.10.2024 BUL BUL 0-2 HT 0-1 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
02.11.2021 BUL BUL 1-0 HT 0-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mbarara City
0-0
AWAY BUL
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mbarara City vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbarara City and BUL fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was BUL at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mbarara City had 50% of the ball to BUL's 50%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mbarara City and 0.50 for BUL.

What was the final score of Mbarara City vs BUL?

Mbarara City 0-0 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated an BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 30%, draw 29%, BUL 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BUL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5
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